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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.92+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.41+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.84vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+0.24vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Stanford University1.920.5%1st Place
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2.81University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
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4.6University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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6.24Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.69Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callie Hammond | 54.9% | 25.0% | 14.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 17.8% | 28.9% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 22.5% | 24.1% | 10.3% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.3% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 25.5% | 12.6% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 13.1% | 22.7% | 25.3% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Erin Welker | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 63.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 25.9% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.