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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+2.58vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.92-1.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.76vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-2.81vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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1.73Stanford University1.920.5%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.23Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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4.64Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 18.9% | 26.0% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 20.6% | 22.8% | 21.8% | 11.0% |
| Callie Hammond | 51.5% | 31.1% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 24.3% | 26.0% | 12.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 64.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 14.2% | 18.9% | 28.3% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 25.4% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.