Race 1A

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Zittrer 32.1% 26.1% 17.6% 10.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Schweda 7.6% 9.4% 10.4% 11.9% 10.6% 11.8% 10.1% 9.8% 10.6% 5.1% 2.4% 0.3%
Benjamin Usher 6.8% 5.7% 7.6% 9.0% 8.8% 9.8% 11.1% 12.0% 12.6% 10.2% 5.7% 0.7%
Milo Miller 4.3% 5.6% 8.5% 9.4% 8.7% 9.5% 13.0% 11.3% 10.0% 10.5% 7.3% 1.9%
Zachariah Schemel 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.8% 9.5% 12.2% 11.0% 9.9% 10.5% 7.2% 3.5% 1.4%
Steven Hardee 9.8% 12.6% 10.6% 11.3% 13.8% 10.2% 11.8% 8.6% 6.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Justin Tribou 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 2.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.6% 4.2% 5.9% 9.7% 23.1% 45.3%
Peter Foley 14.8% 14.4% 13.7% 12.0% 12.7% 10.8% 8.5% 6.0% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Mitchell Hnatt 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 7.3% 9.3% 9.7% 7.8% 13.0% 12.9% 15.0% 9.0% 3.0%
Pj Rodrigues 8.3% 8.0% 11.2% 10.2% 10.9% 12.4% 9.7% 10.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Zechariah Frantz 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 1.8% 3.1% 4.0% 6.8% 9.8% 27.3% 40.3%
Dawson Kohl 3.1% 4.1% 3.5% 3.7% 5.3% 6.8% 9.4% 9.8% 11.1% 20.3% 16.9% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.