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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+1.74vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.46+1.25vs Predicted
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4Baylor University-1.02+4.67vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.97-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.77-0.70vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.48+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of South Alabama-0.06-1.31vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13-0.25vs Predicted
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10Baylor University-1.54-0.69vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.50-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.2%1st Place
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2.15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
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4.25University of Texas1.460.1%1st Place
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8.67Baylor University-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.29Texas A&M University at Galveston1.970.2%1st Place
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5.3University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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7.39Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.69University of South Alabama-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.75Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.31Baylor University-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.45Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Weston | 21.9% | 26.8% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 40.1% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Maher | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 23.4% | 21.0% |
| Rebekka Urbina | 16.6% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Aly Gazzola | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
| Ben Posey | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Emmett Dickheiser | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 22.9% |
| Kevin Wilson | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 40.2% |
| Seth Owens | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.