Race 3A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sam Riley 7.8% 7.3% 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 9.7% 10.7% 8.9% 9.1% 6.5% 3.7% 0.9%
Joseph Bonacci 3.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 7.8% 9.2% 10.3% 12.8% 13.7% 11.1% 6.1%
Lars Osell 10.3% 8.5% 9.5% 11.3% 10.9% 9.7% 10.1% 8.6% 8.4% 6.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Landon Cormie 18.6% 16.1% 14.4% 12.6% 10.9% 8.8% 6.7% 4.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.2% 9.5% 9.2% 10.1% 11.3% 9.2% 10.6% 6.2% 1.7%
Valerio Palamara 7.6% 8.3% 8.1% 9.9% 8.7% 10.4% 9.6% 10.4% 8.8% 8.4% 5.7% 3.2% 0.9%
William Roberts 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 9.8% 14.4% 21.8% 18.4%
Olivia Sowa 10.1% 11.1% 11.4% 9.8% 10.2% 11.1% 9.1% 9.0% 6.6% 5.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Luke Manternach 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 7.3% 7.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 6.2% 2.3%
Adam Larson 18.1% 18.9% 14.1% 13.8% 10.9% 8.6% 6.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 6.8% 7.6% 9.2% 7.4% 9.0% 10.0% 10.1% 8.5% 10.3% 8.7% 6.8% 4.5% 1.2%
Sam Woodley 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 5.9% 9.1% 17.8% 51.4%
Patrick Cashin 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 2.4% 4.9% 3.3% 4.3% 6.0% 8.5% 10.5% 13.8% 21.8% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.