← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Zittrer 31.9% 24.0% 16.9% 12.5% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Bannasch 11.6% 14.9% 14.2% 13.6% 12.6% 10.7% 9.1% 6.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Benjamin Usher 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 8.8% 7.4% 8.7% 13.2% 11.9% 13.0% 11.7% 4.8% 1.2%
Mitchell Hnatt 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 10.5% 11.0% 14.9% 13.5% 11.6% 3.7%
Milo Miller 4.4% 6.5% 7.4% 6.8% 9.9% 9.0% 9.5% 13.8% 13.1% 10.7% 6.5% 2.4%
Peter Foley 12.6% 14.1% 12.5% 13.1% 11.9% 11.8% 9.7% 6.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Steven Hardee 10.9% 10.0% 10.6% 12.1% 12.5% 10.7% 11.6% 8.3% 7.1% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Zachariah Schemel 7.1% 7.8% 9.7% 9.6% 9.6% 11.3% 10.0% 12.7% 9.6% 7.6% 4.2% 0.8%
Pj Rodrigues 7.2% 7.4% 11.4% 10.3% 12.0% 12.8% 10.2% 11.4% 9.2% 6.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Dawson Kohl 3.3% 2.6% 5.1% 3.8% 5.6% 7.1% 8.2% 9.7% 14.6% 19.1% 14.6% 6.3%
Zechariah Frantz 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 5.2% 12.3% 29.3% 36.1%
Justin Tribou 0.5% 1.3% 0.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 4.1% 10.9% 23.6% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.