← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.10+1.49vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.17+2.10vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University2.12+1.40vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.86+0.95vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.51+0.60vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.31+0.09vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.94-0.29vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.62-2.75vs Predicted
-
9Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-1.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida-0.66-0.37vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
-
4.1Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
-
4.4Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
-
4.95University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.6University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.09North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
-
6.71Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
-
5.25Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
-
7.53Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.63University of Florida-0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.25Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 34.6% | 25.0% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter Foley | 12.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 8.8% |
| Justin Tribou | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 50.5% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 30.2% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.