Race 1B

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jordan Vieira 13.5% 12.7% 13.6% 13.4% 12.6% 10.7% 9.7% 6.2% 4.3% 1.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 12.4% 13.4% 15.3% 10.9% 12.4% 11.3% 8.7% 6.2% 5.4% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Ian Richardson 8.6% 11.2% 10.4% 12.5% 11.4% 10.9% 10.7% 9.1% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Efe Guder 11.6% 12.4% 11.9% 13.7% 12.8% 11.6% 9.4% 6.4% 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Caleb Kinnear 3.6% 4.5% 4.6% 6.2% 7.3% 6.2% 8.0% 9.3% 11.6% 12.9% 11.8% 10.4% 3.6%
Benjamin Dufour 29.0% 22.3% 15.2% 10.5% 9.8% 6.7% 2.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
David Webb 4.6% 4.6% 5.9% 7.1% 5.7% 6.5% 9.2% 9.6% 12.5% 13.4% 11.2% 6.6% 3.1%
Reese Blackwell 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 4.4% 6.2% 7.4% 9.6% 12.8% 20.6% 26.0%
Ryan Brelage 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.9% 9.6% 11.0% 12.5% 10.8% 9.1% 7.4% 5.4% 2.8% 0.7%
Gabby Ramia 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 6.0% 7.4% 9.1% 12.2% 15.1% 16.6% 15.7%
Kamron Kaiser 3.6% 4.2% 6.3% 6.1% 6.3% 8.8% 10.0% 11.6% 11.3% 10.8% 11.3% 6.2% 3.5%
Natalie Ryder 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 2.5% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 5.4% 6.0% 8.2% 12.8% 17.6% 36.4%
Mason Howell 2.1% 1.8% 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 6.4% 5.3% 9.4% 9.9% 13.5% 13.7% 16.9% 10.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.