Race 2B

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jordan Vieira 12.0% 14.1% 13.7% 12.0% 12.8% 11.2% 9.0% 6.8% 4.0% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Ian Richardson 10.4% 10.0% 10.9% 10.7% 12.8% 10.7% 11.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Ryan Brelage 6.4% 6.9% 7.6% 10.5% 9.8% 11.8% 10.0% 10.8% 10.2% 7.4% 5.8% 1.9% 0.9%
Patrick Igoe 11.8% 13.2% 13.4% 13.5% 12.3% 9.9% 10.0% 7.7% 4.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2%
Caleb Kinnear 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.1% 7.6% 7.5% 7.9% 9.3% 11.2% 12.4% 11.5% 11.0% 3.3%
Efe Guder 13.4% 12.2% 14.5% 12.6% 9.2% 12.6% 9.3% 6.5% 4.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
David Webb 5.1% 4.0% 5.7% 7.8% 5.8% 6.8% 8.5% 11.3% 10.9% 12.9% 10.6% 7.5% 3.1%
Kamron Kaiser 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 6.5% 7.9% 9.1% 12.0% 12.1% 12.9% 9.6% 7.3% 4.4%
Mason Howell 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 4.4% 4.9% 6.0% 7.4% 11.0% 12.9% 14.2% 14.7% 12.2%
Gabby Ramia 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 6.3% 7.9% 9.5% 10.6% 15.6% 16.6% 16.1%
Reese Blackwell 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 5.3% 5.8% 7.6% 10.2% 14.3% 20.4% 23.3%
Natalie Ryder 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 6.4% 9.1% 12.3% 18.1% 36.1%
Benjamin Dufour 26.7% 21.9% 16.3% 11.4% 11.0% 6.2% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.