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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.46+2.09vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-0.80vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.97-0.59vs Predicted
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5Baylor University-1.02+3.50vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.48+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of South Alabama-0.06-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.77-2.78vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.50-1.37vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13-1.35vs Predicted
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11Baylor University-1.54-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Texas1.460.1%1st Place
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2.2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
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3.41Texas A&M University at Galveston1.970.2%1st Place
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8.5Baylor University-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.62Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.64University of South Alabama-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Texas0.770.1%1st Place
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7.63Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.500.0%1st Place
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8.65Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.3Baylor University-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Weston | 24.0% | 24.0% | 23.0% | 17.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 36.2% | 30.4% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebekka Urbina | 15.8% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 21.3% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Maher | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 20.7% |
| Aly Gazzola | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Ben Posey | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Masie Comen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Seth Owens | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% |
| Emmett Dickheiser | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 23.3% | 21.6% |
| Kevin Wilson | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.