Race 3B

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Dufour 24.9% 18.5% 17.5% 13.8% 10.5% 5.5% 5.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 10.8% 12.2% 12.2% 12.3% 12.8% 12.2% 8.3% 8.2% 5.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
William Stratton 10.7% 14.8% 13.2% 11.1% 10.5% 13.8% 10.4% 5.5% 6.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Jordan Vieira 12.9% 10.4% 12.6% 13.2% 12.2% 10.9% 8.8% 7.7% 6.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3%
Efe Guder 12.2% 11.9% 11.6% 11.9% 10.7% 10.2% 12.2% 8.5% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Ian Richardson 8.9% 9.7% 10.9% 9.9% 11.4% 12.6% 8.8% 9.7% 7.3% 6.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Caleb Kinnear 4.7% 2.7% 3.9% 5.0% 7.3% 5.5% 6.2% 10.3% 12.1% 12.9% 14.6% 10.5% 4.3%
Ryan Brelage 6.2% 8.2% 6.7% 7.4% 9.3% 8.7% 14.1% 12.0% 10.3% 8.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8%
Kamron Kaiser 3.4% 4.5% 3.2% 5.7% 5.5% 5.7% 8.4% 11.9% 10.8% 15.5% 12.5% 8.6% 4.3%
Mason Howell 1.9% 3.5% 2.5% 3.6% 3.4% 4.7% 5.1% 8.2% 11.9% 12.7% 16.1% 14.7% 11.7%
Gabby Ramia 1.4% 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 4.0% 5.2% 5.3% 6.5% 10.7% 12.7% 16.6% 17.2% 13.6%
Natalie Ryder 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 1.4% 2.2% 3.4% 4.6% 6.4% 7.6% 10.9% 23.3% 35.4%
Reese Blackwell 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 2.8% 3.5% 5.0% 6.8% 10.8% 14.5% 20.6% 29.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.