Race 4B

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Dufour 25.9% 18.0% 16.9% 13.8% 10.7% 7.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Efe Guder 10.8% 12.1% 11.9% 11.5% 13.1% 11.1% 9.5% 7.9% 6.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Patrick Igoe 10.2% 12.5% 14.3% 10.3% 11.5% 11.5% 10.9% 8.2% 4.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
William Stratton 12.6% 11.9% 12.5% 13.4% 12.5% 9.7% 9.4% 8.5% 5.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Jordan Vieira 13.0% 13.3% 11.7% 11.3% 10.2% 11.8% 12.3% 6.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Ian Richardson 9.4% 9.5% 10.8% 10.3% 11.4% 12.3% 8.7% 8.7% 8.4% 5.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Ryan Brelage 7.2% 7.2% 6.8% 9.1% 9.0% 9.2% 12.6% 10.9% 10.1% 9.0% 4.9% 3.4% 0.6%
Caleb Kinnear 2.8% 5.3% 2.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 8.6% 11.6% 13.1% 13.1% 13.6% 8.8% 4.8%
Mason Howell 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 4.1% 4.4% 4.8% 4.1% 7.1% 10.3% 14.8% 14.6% 16.6% 12.0%
Gabby Ramia 1.4% 2.9% 2.5% 2.9% 2.5% 4.3% 4.4% 6.5% 10.1% 11.7% 16.0% 18.5% 16.3%
Natalie Ryder 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 7.6% 10.3% 13.8% 19.6% 31.7%
Reese Blackwell 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 4.4% 5.2% 7.4% 8.2% 15.5% 20.0% 29.4%
Kamron Kaiser 2.8% 3.1% 4.4% 5.0% 4.7% 7.8% 8.9% 11.8% 9.9% 15.2% 12.3% 9.7% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.