Race 5B

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Igoe 10.6% 11.6% 12.5% 11.3% 11.2% 11.5% 9.2% 9.8% 5.4% 4.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Efe Guder 10.7% 12.0% 10.8% 10.8% 11.7% 13.1% 8.9% 7.1% 7.9% 4.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Jordan Vieira 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 13.1% 10.9% 9.6% 11.0% 9.3% 5.5% 2.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Ian Richardson 7.8% 10.3% 8.8% 10.8% 11.4% 10.0% 9.7% 11.3% 8.4% 6.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Ryan Brelage 7.3% 5.6% 8.6% 7.7% 9.1% 7.9% 11.4% 10.8% 11.4% 10.0% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5%
William Stratton 13.6% 11.5% 13.4% 11.7% 11.1% 11.2% 8.2% 7.7% 5.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Mason Howell 3.3% 2.0% 2.2% 3.2% 5.1% 4.3% 6.0% 5.5% 10.8% 15.1% 15.7% 19.2% 7.6%
Kamron Kaiser 3.5% 4.0% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 8.0% 11.0% 15.0% 14.4% 12.7% 7.8% 4.6%
Annie Samis 6.2% 6.8% 6.6% 8.9% 7.7% 9.9% 12.0% 10.3% 11.2% 10.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.8%
Maddie Washburn 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 2.4% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 12.8% 19.1% 46.9%
Gabby Ramia 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.7% 5.4% 7.0% 8.5% 13.6% 17.7% 21.1% 11.3%
Reese Blackwell 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.9% 5.3% 9.0% 16.0% 23.9% 27.8%
Benjamin Dufour 22.5% 20.7% 17.6% 11.0% 9.9% 8.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.