Race 8B

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Dufour 27.1% 18.8% 17.3% 13.7% 9.3% 6.4% 3.6% 1.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Efe Guder 11.5% 12.0% 13.9% 11.8% 12.4% 11.2% 8.6% 7.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
Jordan Vieira 10.9% 14.0% 14.9% 12.5% 11.0% 11.2% 8.9% 8.6% 4.1% 2.3% 1.4% 0.0% 0.2%
Matthew Black 7.7% 7.3% 7.7% 10.5% 10.6% 9.9% 12.0% 10.7% 8.9% 6.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6%
Patrick Igoe 13.1% 14.7% 11.2% 12.3% 10.0% 11.8% 10.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Caleb Kinnear 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 5.8% 5.4% 7.7% 7.2% 10.8% 13.9% 13.0% 12.0% 9.1% 3.5%
Ian Richardson 10.7% 11.2% 10.5% 8.5% 12.1% 11.5% 9.9% 10.6% 7.4% 3.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Kamron Kaiser 3.0% 5.8% 3.8% 6.5% 5.5% 6.3% 10.3% 10.4% 12.1% 15.5% 10.7% 7.8% 2.3%
Mason Howell 2.0% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 8.1% 10.6% 13.3% 15.1% 16.4% 9.9%
Ryan Brelage 7.6% 6.4% 7.9% 8.7% 11.1% 10.0% 11.8% 8.3% 10.3% 8.7% 4.7% 3.4% 1.1%
Reese Blackwell 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 5.5% 7.9% 12.0% 16.7% 20.5% 20.4%
Gabby Ramia 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 4.8% 3.9% 5.4% 6.7% 8.4% 11.7% 17.2% 20.4% 13.9%
Maddie Washburn 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% 4.4% 6.8% 10.8% 18.8% 47.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.