Race 10B

saisa-fall-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Dufour 24.3% 21.4% 18.8% 12.9% 8.7% 6.3% 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 10.8% 14.6% 11.1% 14.6% 13.0% 10.2% 11.2% 7.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
William Stratton 14.4% 10.9% 14.1% 13.1% 12.4% 12.7% 9.8% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Carter Weatherilt 2.9% 4.3% 3.4% 5.6% 8.0% 8.5% 10.3% 15.1% 14.5% 14.3% 10.1% 3.0%
Jordan Vieira 12.4% 12.1% 15.0% 11.6% 11.6% 12.0% 9.8% 7.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Efe Guder 12.0% 12.0% 12.3% 11.5% 13.9% 12.4% 9.0% 8.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Ian Richardson 10.2% 10.7% 9.8% 11.3% 11.8% 10.8% 13.1% 10.6% 6.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Ryan Brelage 7.1% 8.5% 7.4% 8.1% 10.2% 10.4% 12.5% 12.9% 12.1% 6.2% 3.1% 1.5%
Mason Howell 2.2% 1.7% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 6.7% 8.7% 11.1% 16.8% 17.9% 16.8% 7.7%
Reese Blackwell 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 3.3% 1.8% 3.4% 4.7% 5.5% 11.1% 16.6% 25.2% 23.7%
Gabby Ramia 1.9% 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 4.6% 5.2% 8.4% 14.4% 20.1% 19.8% 16.0%
Maddie Washburn 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 1.9% 3.9% 6.0% 12.8% 20.6% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.