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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+1.23vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.46+1.32vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.48+3.79vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.17-0.34vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston1.97-2.59vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.50+0.50vs Predicted
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8University of South Alabama-0.06-1.24vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13-0.22vs Predicted
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10Baylor University-1.54-0.69vs Predicted
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11Baylor University-1.02-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
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2.79Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.3%1st Place
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4.32University of Texas1.460.1%1st Place
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7.79Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Texas1.170.1%1st Place
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3.41Texas A&M University at Galveston1.970.2%1st Place
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7.5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.76University of South Alabama-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.78Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.31Baylor University-1.540.0%1st Place
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8.46Baylor University-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Atwood | 35.8% | 28.4% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 25.2% | 23.8% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aly Gazzola | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 8.6% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebekka Urbina | 15.6% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Owens | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 6.9% |
| Ben Posey | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Emmett Dickheiser | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 23.2% |
| Kevin Wilson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 40.9% |
| Lawrence Maher | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.