Race 5A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 8.0% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0% 11.2% 9.4% 9.6% 9.8% 7.5% 6.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Landon Cormie 16.2% 15.7% 15.3% 12.3% 12.4% 10.0% 7.4% 5.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 8.9% 11.2% 11.2% 8.9% 5.7% 2.1%
Adam Larson 19.8% 17.7% 14.7% 13.2% 9.8% 8.8% 6.1% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Aston Atherton 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 7.2% 6.9% 7.6% 10.1% 9.5% 10.1% 12.3% 9.8% 6.0% 1.8%
Sam Riley 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.4% 9.8% 9.5% 7.6% 6.8% 4.2% 0.8%
Lars Osell 8.5% 9.7% 10.7% 10.0% 11.9% 9.6% 9.0% 9.0% 9.2% 6.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Joshua Bendura 7.6% 6.9% 8.7% 7.8% 9.7% 9.3% 9.6% 10.3% 8.9% 9.4% 6.7% 3.9% 1.2%
Olivia Sowa 10.8% 11.9% 10.9% 10.0% 10.0% 9.2% 9.1% 9.3% 8.5% 5.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5%
William Roberts 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.7% 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 9.4% 14.6% 22.4% 19.4%
Joseph Bonacci 3.9% 3.9% 4.1% 5.0% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 9.1% 9.4% 13.4% 14.4% 12.9% 5.9%
Patrick Cashin 1.8% 3.0% 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 3.9% 6.7% 6.1% 7.7% 8.8% 14.0% 21.1% 17.5%
Sam Woodley 1.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 9.7% 16.9% 49.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.