← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+1.18vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.97+1.34vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-0.10vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.48+3.79vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas1.46-0.81vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas1.17-1.30vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.50+0.52vs Predicted
-
8University of South Alabama-0.06-1.19vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13-0.22vs Predicted
-
10Baylor University-1.54-0.67vs Predicted
-
11Baylor University-1.02-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.18Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
-
3.34Texas A&M University at Galveston1.970.2%1st Place
-
2.9Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.2%1st Place
-
7.79Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.480.0%1st Place
-
4.19University of Texas1.460.1%1st Place
-
4.7University of Texas1.170.1%1st Place
-
7.52Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.500.0%1st Place
-
6.81University of South Alabama-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.78Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.33Baylor University-1.540.0%1st Place
-
8.46Baylor University-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Atwood | 38.6% | 27.7% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebekka Urbina | 17.2% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 20.4% | 24.5% | 23.5% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aly Gazzola | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 22.9% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Seth Owens | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 6.9% |
| Ben Posey | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Emmett Dickheiser | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 23.7% | 23.3% |
| Kevin Wilson | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 40.9% |
| Lawrence Maher | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.