Race 6A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Landon Cormie 15.5% 16.3% 16.5% 12.3% 12.2% 9.0% 7.2% 4.5% 3.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lars Osell 10.2% 9.7% 9.4% 11.4% 10.0% 11.0% 9.8% 10.1% 6.7% 6.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Sam Riley 7.6% 8.4% 8.1% 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.5% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
Olivia Sowa 10.8% 10.4% 11.3% 10.6% 10.3% 9.2% 10.8% 9.2% 7.8% 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
William Roberts 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.2% 4.2% 5.5% 6.0% 7.0% 9.6% 14.4% 22.3% 18.1%
Aston Atherton 6.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.2% 6.7% 8.9% 9.5% 9.6% 11.4% 10.8% 9.1% 6.3% 2.1%
Joshua Bendura 7.0% 8.0% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 10.1% 8.9% 10.3% 9.3% 9.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3%
Luke Manternach 7.0% 7.8% 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 11.4% 10.8% 8.8% 5.6% 1.5%
Joseph Bonacci 3.7% 4.2% 4.5% 4.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.7% 7.6% 9.2% 12.1% 15.8% 12.3% 6.2%
Sam Woodley 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 5.7% 8.9% 17.2% 51.8%
Patrick Cashin 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 6.2% 6.8% 10.8% 16.1% 22.6% 15.9%
Valerio Palamara 7.6% 7.9% 8.2% 8.9% 9.8% 9.2% 10.0% 10.1% 10.5% 7.9% 5.8% 3.2% 0.8%
Adam Larson 19.4% 16.8% 14.8% 12.8% 10.8% 9.4% 5.9% 4.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.