Race 1A

terrier-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maria Skouloudi 7.5% 8.4% 10.9% 9.8% 7.5% 10.0% 9.4% 8.2% 8.0% 7.4% 6.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Ryan Hoffman 14.0% 13.8% 10.0% 11.9% 11.1% 11.2% 8.7% 6.8% 4.6% 4.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Julian Dahiya 16.5% 14.7% 13.1% 11.6% 11.2% 8.0% 8.3% 7.2% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Ludwik Grzelak 10.8% 10.7% 12.1% 11.2% 10.5% 8.7% 7.8% 8.5% 7.1% 5.7% 4.2% 1.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 3.9% 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 6.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.2% 10.5% 5.8% 2.4%
Duncan Craine 15.0% 13.4% 13.2% 12.2% 9.8% 8.7% 8.5% 7.1% 3.8% 5.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matteo Asscher 5.1% 6.3% 6.7% 5.2% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 8.9% 10.5% 8.7% 10.8% 10.3% 5.8% 1.9%
Kevin Sheedy 4.3% 2.9% 4.9% 3.8% 6.1% 5.2% 5.4% 8.1% 7.4% 11.4% 11.4% 11.1% 13.0% 5.0%
Cole Amaral 9.1% 8.1% 8.5% 9.3% 10.1% 10.3% 10.5% 8.9% 8.0% 5.6% 6.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.1%
James Beaulieu 4.2% 4.7% 4.2% 5.3% 6.4% 7.0% 7.0% 8.6% 11.0% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 6.8% 3.0%
Marshall Rodes 1.8% 3.0% 1.8% 2.8% 3.8% 3.0% 5.7% 6.5% 6.5% 7.2% 11.9% 18.0% 17.8% 10.2%
Rohan Shah 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.8% 4.6% 7.4% 10.2% 14.6% 25.4% 19.3%
Theresa Straw 6.3% 7.1% 6.7% 7.9% 6.9% 9.8% 9.0% 8.4% 10.6% 9.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.5% 0.9%
Alejandro Cestero 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 3.1% 3.3% 4.7% 8.9% 16.0% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.