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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.49+3.47vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.86+4.08vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.17+2.36vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.82+6.98vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.45-0.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.35+1.97vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-2.22vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.28-0.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.94-2.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.29-1.87vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.60-4.87vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.02-5.11vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.68-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.36Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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10.98Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.74Connecticut College1.450.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.58Bentley University-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 16.8% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 26.0% | 19.5% |
| Duncan Craine | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| James Beaulieu | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Cole Amaral | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matteo Asscher | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
| Kevin Sheedy | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 4.7% |
| Alejandro Cestero | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.