Race 3A

terrier-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Julian Dahiya 15.6% 17.3% 13.3% 12.3% 9.5% 9.3% 6.7% 5.2% 3.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Duncan Craine 17.1% 13.8% 13.3% 12.8% 10.9% 10.0% 8.2% 4.6% 3.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Theresa Straw 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 7.4% 6.9% 8.0% 8.9% 10.9% 9.9% 9.4% 8.0% 6.7% 2.7% 0.6%
Cole Amaral 6.8% 10.1% 11.4% 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 9.1% 9.4% 7.3% 7.6% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Ryan Hoffman 11.1% 13.3% 12.6% 11.6% 11.6% 9.6% 8.1% 7.4% 6.7% 3.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
James Beaulieu 4.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.6% 6.9% 7.5% 8.0% 9.1% 9.2% 10.9% 10.6% 9.7% 6.8% 2.1%
Ludwik Grzelak 12.6% 11.8% 12.0% 11.0% 11.5% 9.1% 9.3% 7.0% 6.0% 4.2% 3.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Marshall Rodes 2.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 3.8% 5.9% 6.9% 9.7% 11.4% 14.7% 17.3% 9.1%
Buck Rathbun 5.3% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.7% 8.1% 8.1% 9.9% 11.9% 9.6% 10.7% 8.5% 4.9% 2.1%
Rohan Shah 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.9% 10.6% 13.8% 26.3% 18.5%
Graham Welsh 3.2% 2.3% 2.7% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 5.5% 6.9% 8.7% 10.1% 13.7% 14.2% 12.2% 5.7%
Kevin Sheedy 3.5% 2.8% 3.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 7.8% 10.5% 11.7% 10.4% 11.6% 10.7% 5.1%
Alejandro Cestero 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 0.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 2.9% 5.5% 9.8% 14.5% 56.3%
Maria Skouloudi 8.3% 8.6% 9.5% 8.7% 9.6% 9.7% 11.8% 8.6% 8.3% 6.5% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.