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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.49+3.44vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+2.74vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.45+1.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.17+1.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.60+2.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.86+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+2.60vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.94-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.02-0.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.28-1.94vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.15-1.74vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.35-5.30vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.68-1.51vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.82-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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4.44Connecticut College1.450.2%1st Place
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5.32Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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12.49Bentley University-1.680.0%1st Place
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10.8Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Craine | 16.5% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 8.5% |
| Cole Amaral | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Sheedy | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| James Beaulieu | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Graham Welsh | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Alejandro Cestero | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 16.0% | 57.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 24.1% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.