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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.49+3.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.29+5.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.17+2.29vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.35+3.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.94+1.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.28+2.18vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.86-0.98vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.45-4.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-4.97vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island-0.02-1.93vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.60-4.88vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-3.01vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.82-3.12vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.68-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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7.81Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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6.1Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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4.59Connecticut College1.450.2%1st Place
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5.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.88Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.56Bentley University-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 16.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Cole Amaral | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| James Beaulieu | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Craine | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Sheedy | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 10.2% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 25.9% | 19.2% |
| Alejandro Cestero | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.