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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.49+3.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+2.83vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.45+1.55vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.17+1.39vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.29+3.10vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.94+0.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.60-0.17vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.86-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.02-0.03vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.28-1.86vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.35-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-3.06vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.82-4.08vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.68-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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4.55Connecticut College1.450.2%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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6.14Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.92Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.57Bentley University-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 15.5% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 13.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 15.4% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matteo Asscher | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Cole Amaral | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Sheedy | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 4.1% |
| James Beaulieu | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 10.2% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 23.5% | 20.3% |
| Alejandro Cestero | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.