Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Shea McGrath 6.2% 7.7% 6.6% 7.9% 9.3% 12.1% 11.5% 11.8% 11.6% 9.5% 5.1% 0.7%
Jakub Fuja 14.7% 16.4% 14.3% 14.2% 11.7% 9.3% 9.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabby Collins 14.0% 12.6% 14.3% 11.9% 11.1% 11.3% 10.3% 7.4% 4.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Conrad Straden 17.9% 16.3% 15.5% 13.9% 11.8% 8.6% 6.7% 5.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Brayden Benesch 18.4% 16.4% 16.2% 11.7% 10.7% 9.9% 6.0% 5.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Jake Demos 10.1% 10.5% 8.9% 12.5% 10.8% 12.1% 10.4% 9.5% 7.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.0%
Natalia Morrow 4.4% 5.6% 4.7% 6.7% 7.4% 8.9% 10.2% 10.3% 13.6% 14.0% 11.4% 2.8%
Audra Murray 3.8% 3.4% 4.5% 4.4% 5.9% 7.3% 7.6% 9.3% 13.7% 19.7% 16.7% 3.7%
Richard Kalich 4.9% 4.6% 6.5% 7.9% 9.8% 8.5% 11.9% 13.2% 13.3% 10.7% 7.6% 1.1%
Emilia Perriera 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.4% 8.0% 12.2% 14.1% 33.4% 8.1%
Caroline Straw 3.3% 3.1% 5.0% 5.7% 7.3% 7.2% 9.4% 12.2% 14.4% 16.1% 13.8% 2.5%
Hannah Tracey 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 3.7% 8.5% 80.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.