← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gabby Collins 13.4% 12.7% 11.3% 13.7% 13.4% 11.0% 9.3% 6.6% 5.1% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jake Demos 9.1% 9.1% 11.9% 12.3% 11.1% 10.2% 11.9% 10.4% 7.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Brayden Benesch 17.7% 17.0% 14.7% 11.8% 11.0% 11.7% 8.3% 4.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Conrad Straden 17.4% 16.9% 16.0% 13.8% 11.2% 8.2% 8.1% 4.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 15.4% 16.1% 15.7% 12.5% 10.1% 10.7% 8.2% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Audra Murray 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 5.6% 7.9% 9.3% 15.4% 18.0% 18.5% 4.3%
Richard Kalich 5.7% 6.1% 6.3% 7.1% 8.3% 10.1% 9.4% 12.1% 13.6% 11.1% 8.5% 1.7%
Natalia Morrow 4.8% 4.6% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 6.8% 10.4% 11.3% 13.3% 14.9% 12.0% 1.8%
Caroline Straw 3.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 8.1% 9.7% 9.0% 14.4% 13.3% 14.7% 12.0% 1.4%
Shea McGrath 7.2% 8.0% 7.5% 8.7% 9.0% 11.4% 11.5% 12.5% 10.5% 8.9% 4.5% 0.3%
Emilia Perriera 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 2.7% 4.2% 3.7% 5.1% 8.0% 11.0% 17.7% 32.2% 9.4%
Hannah Tracey 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 8.7% 80.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.