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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.14+3.60vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.81+3.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.40+0.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-0.11vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.29-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.32+1.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.16-1.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.01-1.77vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.07-2.61vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.45-4.89vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.77-2.92vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.63-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.31Connecticut College0.810.1%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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4.16Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Collins | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jake Demos | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 17.7% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Audra Murray | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 4.3% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Natalia Morrow | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Straw | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 1.4% |
| Shea McGrath | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 32.2% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Tracey | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 8.7% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.