Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jakub Fuja 14.9% 14.5% 13.2% 14.4% 13.1% 10.7% 7.8% 5.8% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Jake Demos 8.5% 11.0% 10.3% 11.5% 11.3% 11.1% 11.1% 10.1% 8.4% 3.8% 2.7% 0.2%
Gabby Collins 14.2% 11.7% 14.8% 11.4% 12.4% 10.9% 10.1% 8.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Conrad Straden 16.7% 19.6% 14.9% 13.2% 9.6% 10.5% 8.0% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 4.7% 5.8% 5.5% 6.6% 8.6% 9.2% 11.3% 11.2% 12.5% 13.1% 9.9% 1.6%
Brayden Benesch 18.7% 14.9% 16.8% 12.8% 12.3% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 7.5% 7.4% 8.7% 9.2% 9.1% 10.4% 10.9% 12.3% 9.8% 9.1% 5.1% 0.5%
Caroline Straw 4.7% 4.9% 5.3% 6.9% 5.8% 7.6% 8.3% 12.2% 14.2% 14.9% 13.0% 2.2%
Audra Murray 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.8% 6.6% 7.4% 9.1% 11.1% 14.5% 17.6% 17.8% 2.5%
Natalia Morrow 5.0% 5.1% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.9% 9.3% 11.8% 14.6% 15.0% 10.6% 1.6%
Emilia Perriera 2.2% 1.9% 1.6% 2.6% 4.2% 4.3% 5.7% 7.4% 11.0% 17.6% 32.0% 9.5%
Hannah Tracey 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 7.7% 81.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.