Race 7A

hanbury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Landon Cormie 18.4% 15.8% 14.0% 13.1% 10.8% 8.9% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Riley 7.4% 7.1% 8.6% 8.4% 9.2% 10.4% 11.1% 9.7% 9.3% 8.3% 6.2% 3.3% 0.9%
William Roberts 2.0% 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 3.4% 3.9% 4.9% 5.8% 8.1% 9.3% 15.2% 21.1% 18.8%
Valerio Palamara 8.5% 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 9.8% 8.3% 11.2% 9.0% 8.4% 9.2% 6.1% 3.2% 1.0%
Olivia Sowa 10.9% 11.5% 10.9% 10.1% 9.4% 10.2% 9.6% 9.7% 6.5% 5.5% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Adam Larson 19.6% 16.6% 15.2% 12.5% 11.6% 8.9% 5.2% 4.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 8.1% 8.1% 8.5% 9.3% 8.6% 9.9% 10.3% 8.2% 8.2% 9.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.0%
Lars Osell 8.9% 10.3% 10.9% 11.1% 11.7% 9.8% 8.3% 9.8% 7.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Patrick Cashin 2.0% 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 5.1% 6.2% 7.8% 10.6% 15.2% 23.4% 14.4%
Luke Manternach 4.7% 6.7% 6.3% 7.4% 8.3% 9.3% 8.1% 11.4% 10.8% 10.7% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9%
Aston Atherton 4.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 7.9% 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 12.2% 10.5% 9.8% 6.6% 2.3%
Sam Woodley 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 8.8% 17.0% 52.8%
Joseph Bonacci 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.3% 4.8% 6.2% 7.6% 8.0% 11.2% 11.7% 13.3% 13.2% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.