Race 1B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Kennady 34.2% 26.6% 17.0% 11.9% 5.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Kirk 7.3% 7.3% 8.9% 12.9% 14.6% 15.9% 13.2% 11.1% 6.4% 2.4%
Ava Kovach 27.1% 24.6% 20.9% 14.0% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Cathriner 5.9% 8.2% 10.2% 14.7% 15.7% 15.0% 12.0% 10.8% 5.9% 1.6%
Alexander Cockerill 4.6% 5.8% 6.2% 8.2% 10.4% 14.8% 15.0% 16.8% 11.7% 6.5%
Timothy Kurtin II 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.8% 9.3% 10.4% 15.9% 22.5% 22.2%
Patrick Campbell 3.3% 3.9% 6.3% 9.7% 11.4% 14.0% 14.8% 15.3% 14.9% 6.4%
Trey Brown 1.2% 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 4.9% 5.2% 8.3% 10.4% 17.2% 47.8%
Nicholas Stewart 2.4% 3.5% 5.5% 5.8% 8.4% 10.6% 15.6% 15.5% 20.0% 12.7%
Nicholas Chong 11.5% 16.2% 18.9% 16.4% 15.2% 9.0% 8.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.