Race 4B

terrier-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brayden Benesch 17.5% 16.3% 13.4% 15.0% 10.8% 11.5% 7.5% 3.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 3.9% 5.5% 6.0% 7.5% 9.4% 9.7% 10.8% 11.7% 14.0% 12.4% 8.2% 0.9%
Jake Demos 10.4% 9.2% 12.0% 9.3% 11.8% 11.0% 12.6% 10.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.8% 0.0%
Gabby Collins 12.3% 15.4% 13.2% 13.3% 11.6% 9.6% 11.0% 6.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Conrad Straden 18.2% 17.3% 14.5% 12.5% 11.7% 9.7% 6.9% 4.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Caroline Straw 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 6.2% 5.3% 6.5% 8.8% 13.6% 15.7% 15.1% 12.8% 1.9%
Shea McGrath 7.4% 6.9% 8.4% 9.8% 9.4% 11.7% 11.3% 10.8% 10.7% 8.5% 4.5% 0.6%
Natalia Morrow 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 5.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 12.4% 12.0% 15.5% 11.6% 2.7%
Emilia Perriera 2.0% 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 4.0% 5.2% 6.3% 9.9% 11.5% 17.1% 31.5% 6.6%
Jakub Fuja 16.1% 15.4% 14.8% 12.8% 12.6% 9.3% 7.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Audra Murray 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% 5.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.9% 9.1% 13.8% 18.2% 19.9% 4.6%
Hannah Tracey 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 3.2% 7.5% 82.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.