Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Conrad Straden 17.8% 14.8% 15.4% 14.1% 12.5% 11.3% 4.6% 5.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 4.5% 4.4% 6.7% 7.6% 9.5% 8.8% 10.8% 11.1% 15.0% 12.8% 8.0% 0.8%
Brayden Benesch 18.3% 16.7% 15.1% 11.6% 13.2% 10.2% 6.2% 5.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Jake Demos 8.7% 10.2% 10.7% 13.4% 11.5% 11.0% 10.8% 8.8% 8.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Jakub Fuja 15.1% 16.7% 14.5% 12.7% 10.4% 11.2% 7.4% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 7.1% 7.5% 7.5% 7.9% 9.2% 10.9% 13.2% 12.8% 10.2% 8.4% 5.0% 0.3%
Gabby Collins 13.9% 14.6% 14.3% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 10.8% 6.7% 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Natalia Morrow 5.0% 4.6% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.3% 10.1% 10.4% 14.0% 15.2% 10.7% 2.8%
Emilia Perriera 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 4.5% 8.4% 8.9% 11.4% 17.3% 31.6% 6.5%
Caroline Straw 4.7% 4.9% 4.2% 5.7% 6.4% 8.3% 9.4% 12.8% 15.1% 13.7% 12.6% 2.2%
Audra Murray 2.7% 3.6% 3.0% 4.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.6% 10.5% 11.7% 18.9% 20.8% 4.4%
Hannah Tracey 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 7.0% 82.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.