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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+2.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University-0.07+5.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.14+1.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.29+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island-0.32+3.07vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.81-0.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.40-3.12vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.01-0.75vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.45-2.98vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.16-3.19vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.77-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.63-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.54Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.11Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.3Connecticut College0.810.1%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University1.400.2%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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9.11Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conrad Straden | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Straw | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 14.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 14.4% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Audra Murray | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 4.2% |
| Jake Demos | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 18.4% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalia Morrow | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 1.8% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 33.0% | 9.3% |
| Hannah Tracey | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 8.8% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.