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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.09vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.58+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.04vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.08-1.31vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.32-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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3.69Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 23.9% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 24.3% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Whidden | 16.7% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.3% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| Luke Harris | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 23.6% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.