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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38+0.11vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.58+0.53vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.08-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-1.06vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.47-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.53Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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3.68Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 26.8% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 21.4% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Leif Hauge | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| Thomas Whidden | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 30.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 15.8% |
| Luke Harris | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.