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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Stanford University2.08+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.05vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-1.25vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.58-2.50vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.38-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.25California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.5Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 17.5% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 23.3% | 23.2% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 28.7% |
| Luke Harris | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 24.3% |
| Leif Hauge | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 19.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 24.5% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.