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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.93vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.58+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.38-1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.32-2.06vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.53Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 6.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 24.4% | 23.1% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Leif Hauge | 9.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 19.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 20.8% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Luke Harris | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 25.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 29.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.