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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.08+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.320.00vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.58-2.48vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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3.62Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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2.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.52Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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4.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 24.9% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Whidden | 15.0% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Luke Harris | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 22.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 24.6% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 30.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 20.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.