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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.99vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.74vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.58-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.47-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.13University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.26California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 18.5% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 21.5% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 29.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 23.9% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| Luke Harris | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.