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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.58+2.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.04vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-1.03vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.08-3.32vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.47-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.48Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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3.68Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 23.9% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 23.3% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 30.0% |
| Thomas Whidden | 15.9% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Luke Harris | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.