Race 2B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ava Kovach 27.7% 25.9% 18.9% 14.4% 6.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Nicholas Chong 12.3% 15.0% 18.4% 16.8% 15.6% 11.4% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Kirk 6.5% 7.3% 9.1% 11.4% 15.0% 16.5% 14.3% 11.7% 6.1% 2.1%
Benjamin Kennady 33.3% 26.6% 18.2% 12.9% 5.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Kurtin II 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 7.9% 10.8% 14.4% 25.4% 20.0%
Patrick Campbell 4.9% 4.6% 6.8% 7.6% 10.8% 14.7% 13.3% 17.4% 12.3% 7.6%
Alexander Cockerill 3.3% 3.8% 7.7% 9.2% 11.2% 12.2% 18.5% 14.8% 13.0% 6.3%
Richard Cathriner 6.1% 9.3% 10.6% 12.6% 17.1% 13.8% 13.1% 10.8% 4.4% 2.2%
Nicholas Stewart 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 6.6% 8.1% 12.6% 12.7% 17.5% 18.9% 13.1%
Trey Brown 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 3.4% 3.7% 4.6% 8.4% 9.4% 18.5% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.