Race 8A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Larson 20.0% 16.4% 15.0% 13.2% 10.8% 8.9% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 18.1% 16.2% 15.2% 11.8% 11.0% 8.8% 7.1% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 10.1% 10.7% 10.2% 10.0% 11.2% 9.6% 10.9% 9.3% 7.4% 5.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Joshua Bendura 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 9.0% 9.4% 10.3% 8.7% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.4% 4.0% 1.3%
Valerio Palamara 8.0% 7.8% 9.2% 10.4% 8.8% 8.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.2% 8.8% 6.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Lars Osell 9.3% 10.3% 9.9% 11.0% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 8.9% 8.6% 6.0% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Sam Riley 7.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 10.0% 10.4% 9.6% 8.5% 6.6% 3.5% 1.0%
Joseph Bonacci 3.4% 4.6% 3.9% 5.1% 5.6% 6.6% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 12.3% 13.7% 12.5% 6.5%
Aston Atherton 5.6% 7.0% 6.6% 6.0% 8.4% 9.7% 8.2% 9.6% 10.8% 10.4% 8.9% 6.6% 2.5%
William Roberts 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 4.1% 5.1% 5.2% 7.0% 11.2% 13.1% 22.5% 19.1%
Sam Woodley 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 4.5% 5.3% 9.9% 17.6% 50.3%
Luke Manternach 5.1% 5.9% 8.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.6% 9.7% 10.2% 10.1% 9.9% 6.2% 2.2%
Patrick Cashin 2.4% 2.9% 2.1% 3.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 6.2% 8.5% 10.7% 14.9% 20.5% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.