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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-1.26vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.79vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.58-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.97University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 17.8% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 23.8% | 21.5% | 21.6% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Erik Anderson | 21.6% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 28.3% |
| Luke Harris | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 24.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 14.3% |
| Leif Hauge | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.