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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.04vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.58+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.38-1.70vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47-2.20vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.63Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 26.6% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 21.2% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 20.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.8% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 32.1% |
| Luke Harris | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 24.9% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.