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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.47-0.17vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.61vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.58-2.38vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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3.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.62Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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2.86Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 21.1% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 21.3% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 22.4% | 27.9% |
| Luke Harris | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 25.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| Leif Hauge | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 20.6% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 26.2% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.