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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+3.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.90vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.38-3.71vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.32-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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2.99Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 23.2% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 20.5% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| Luke Harris | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 25.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 20.7% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.