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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.05vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.47-0.16vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.61vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.32-1.98vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.58-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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3.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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3.02Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.47Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 21.0% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 22.4% | 20.5% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 24.0% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Luke Harris | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 21.8% | 24.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 16.6% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 30.7% |
| Leif Hauge | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.