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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.04vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.47-0.17vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.58-1.34vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.70vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.32-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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2.99Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.66Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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4.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 24.0% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 23.7% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.7% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Luke Harris | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 24.8% |
| Leif Hauge | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 21.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.