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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.38-0.68vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.63vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.58-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.32-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.79University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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3.32University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.61Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 26.8% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 21.8% | 23.1% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Luke Harris | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 23.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.2% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.