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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.21vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+4.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.13+3.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.14vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+1.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-3.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-3.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.73-1.95vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-4.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.30vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.87-2.28vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.53-2.53vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.38-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.74Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.53Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.57Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.64Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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13.27Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.6% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Meara Conley | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 16.8% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 10.1% |
| Ella Towner | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 19.7% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.