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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.13+4.39vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+1.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+2.85vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.73+1.95vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13-0.47vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.87+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.53+2.48vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-3.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-3.49vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-4.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.50vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.38-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.39Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.85Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.53Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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13.32Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 17.6% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| bella casaretto | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 9.5% |
| Ella Towner | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 22.8% | 13.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Meara Conley | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 17.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.