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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.49vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+4.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+2.20vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+1.59vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+1.90vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.87+4.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+0.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-1.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73-1.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.77vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.13-4.38vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.13-5.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.40vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.38-0.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.53-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.2Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.59Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.62Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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13.36Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 7.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Meara Conley | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 17.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 52.8% |
| Ella Towner | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.