Race 9A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lars Osell 9.6% 10.8% 9.4% 9.6% 10.3% 11.3% 10.2% 8.5% 8.1% 5.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Adam Larson 19.4% 17.0% 15.6% 12.8% 11.0% 9.0% 6.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 17.6% 16.7% 14.8% 13.6% 10.5% 8.5% 6.6% 5.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 7.0% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 8.5% 7.9% 8.9% 9.2% 10.2% 10.8% 10.2% 5.9% 1.9%
Sam Riley 6.5% 7.8% 8.1% 9.5% 9.3% 9.2% 10.3% 10.1% 10.7% 8.6% 5.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Joshua Bendura 8.1% 6.8% 8.8% 8.6% 8.2% 9.6% 10.0% 9.5% 9.4% 8.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.1%
Olivia Sowa 10.8% 11.0% 10.1% 11.6% 10.9% 9.8% 9.3% 8.6% 6.6% 5.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Luke Manternach 5.6% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 7.0% 8.1% 9.8% 10.2% 11.6% 11.6% 8.6% 5.1% 2.2%
Joseph Bonacci 2.9% 4.6% 4.3% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.7% 9.4% 11.5% 11.7% 13.9% 12.2% 6.7%
William Roberts 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 5.8% 5.0% 7.4% 9.6% 15.0% 21.6% 18.7%
Sam Woodley 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 9.8% 18.8% 49.2%
Patrick Cashin 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8% 6.7% 11.5% 13.9% 22.1% 18.0%
Valerio Palamara 7.6% 7.1% 8.8% 9.2% 9.7% 10.8% 9.4% 12.2% 7.8% 7.8% 5.7% 3.3% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.