Race 3B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Kennady 35.8% 26.9% 17.1% 9.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ava Kovach 28.5% 26.1% 19.7% 14.7% 6.6% 2.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Chong 12.9% 14.6% 19.4% 18.3% 16.9% 10.4% 5.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Richard Cathriner 5.0% 9.4% 12.6% 15.4% 14.8% 17.3% 13.4% 8.9% 2.8% 0.4%
Nicholas Kirk 6.9% 8.7% 9.6% 13.7% 16.4% 18.8% 14.0% 8.3% 3.4% 0.2%
Alexander Cockerill 5.1% 4.9% 8.0% 8.3% 12.8% 16.5% 17.7% 17.4% 8.7% 0.6%
Patrick Campbell 3.0% 4.5% 7.5% 10.5% 13.0% 15.7% 20.4% 16.7% 7.9% 0.8%
Timothy Kurtin II 1.7% 3.4% 4.1% 5.5% 8.6% 10.4% 15.2% 24.2% 23.9% 3.0%
Trey Brown 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 3.7% 3.9% 5.0% 9.7% 19.2% 45.6% 8.9%
Lyda Murray 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 3.0% 7.3% 86.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.