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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.73+6.62vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+2.16vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+1.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.99vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+0.88vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.87+2.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.85vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-1.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-5.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.13-4.48vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-5.97vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-6.39vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.37-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.61Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.63University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 9.7% |
| Meara Conley | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 25.8% | 20.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 17.7% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.