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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.89vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.23vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+2.56vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+0.47vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+0.31vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+0.89vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73+0.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.74vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.13-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-2.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-4.26vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37+0.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.87-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.56Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.47Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.89Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.47Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.6% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 4.4% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 60.9% |
| Meara Conley | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 26.4% | 19.8% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.